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2010-06-15

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 โœ— (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky -7 (86-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel McCoughtry * 35 5-16 0-3 0-0 6 6 1 1 4 10 4 -
Iziane Castro Marques * 34 10-16 4-6 7-11 4 3 1 0 3 31 20 -
Sancho Lyttle * 33 5-9 0-0 5-6 4 2 2 1 4 15 11 -
Erika de Souza * 30 8-12 0-0 1-1 13 2 2 2 1 17 23 -
Shalee Lehning * 29 4-4 1-1 1-1 2 9 1 0 3 10 15 -
Armintie Herrington 10 3-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Kelly Miller 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Alison Bales 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
Yelena Leuchanka 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dominique Canty * 31 4-13 0-0 4-4 4 6 1 0 6 12 4 -
Jia Perkins * 30 8-17 3-7 6-6 2 3 3 0 0 25 16 -
Sylvia Fowles * 29 7-13 0-0 10-11 6 3 1 3 3 24 21 -
Mistie Bass * 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 1 3 4 8 -
Tamera Young * 20 1-3 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 1 5 10 -
Erin Thorn 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld 23 2-6 2-4 0-0 5 3 1 2 2 6 9 -
Epiphanny Prince 11 2-6 0-0 2-2 0 2 2 0 2 6 2 -
Sandora Irvin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter