Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +12 (87-75). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanna Zolman * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Chante Black * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Lacy * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Amber Holt | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Marion Jones | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 30 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 17 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Megan Frazee | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Helen Darling | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter