Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (78-73). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Essence Carson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 28 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter