Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +10 (92-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 6-18 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 20 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Lilley | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Anosike * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Rashanda McCants * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Monica Wright | 26 | 12-23 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 13 | - |
| Charde Houston | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter