Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -19 (82-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 34 | 12-22 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 27 | 11-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alison Bales | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Coco Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brittainey Raven | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 35 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 31 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 34 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 26 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Andrea Riley | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter