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2010-05-30

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 โœ— (32.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—

Actual: Las Vegas Aces -28 (56-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauren Jackson * 28 9-15 1-1 8-8 4 1 1 1 0 27 19 -
Tanisha Wright * 28 3-5 1-2 2-2 2 4 0 0 0 9 10 -
Swin Cash * 27 6-12 2-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 14 12 -
Sue Bird * 27 3-11 2-8 1-2 3 6 2 0 1 9 8 -
Camille Smith * 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 0 1 8 11 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 22 3-6 1-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
Le'coe Willingham 12 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Ashley Robinson 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jana Vesela 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
Alison Lacey 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Abby Bishop 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chamique Holdsclaw * 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
Michelle Snow * 21 1-6 0-0 1-2 6 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
Becky Hammon * 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 5 0 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 19 4-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 8 0 -
Helen Darling * 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Roneeka Hodges 24 3-7 1-3 5-7 3 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 2 -3 -
Megan Frazee 19 1-7 0-2 4-5 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Ruth Riley 17 1-3 0-0 4-4 4 2 1 1 0 6 11 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Crystal Kelly 8 0-1 0-0 4-6 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter