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2010-05-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 โœ— (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky -6 (86-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 36 11-17 1-3 5-8 5 4 2 2 2 28 22 -
Katie Douglas * 35 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 6 2 0 4 8 5 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 34 4-11 0-0 4-5 8 1 2 1 1 12 12 -
Briann January * 27 2-5 0-0 4-4 3 5 2 0 4 8 9 -
Ebony Hoffman * 15 3-6 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 8 3 -
Shay Murphy 36 6-12 3-7 5-6 10 6 1 0 1 20 24 -
Tully Bevilaqua 17 1-3 0-1 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Jessica Moore 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 6 4 -
Allie Quigley 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jessica Davenport 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles * 38 8-11 0-0 6-7 12 0 0 3 1 22 25 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 35 5-8 2-4 4-4 8 1 2 0 5 16 14 -
Jia Perkins * 25 0-9 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -7 -
Dominique Canty * 25 2-5 0-0 3-3 1 5 1 0 3 7 6 -
Sandora Irvin * 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 2 4 -
Shameka Christon 26 4-13 1-5 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 11 4 -
Erin Thorn 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
Epiphanny Prince 22 6-10 1-2 7-7 1 4 2 0 4 20 13 -
Mistie Bass 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Tamera Young 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter