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2010-05-21

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 74.8% 25.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 77.6% 22.4% - โœ—
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 โœ— (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.6% 32.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% - โœ—

Actual: Washington Mystics +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicole Powell * 36 3-11 2-4 2-2 7 2 3 0 2 10 9 -
Cappie Pondexter * 35 4-10 0-1 6-6 2 8 2 0 3 14 13 -
Janel McCarville * 30 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 4 10 4 -
Leilani Mitchell * 29 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 4 0 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 25 3-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 2 0 4 8 3 -
Kia Vaughn 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Essence Carson 10 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
Tiffany Jackson 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
Kalana Greene 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Nikki Blue 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsey Harding * 37 7-11 1-1 6-9 4 3 2 0 9 21 10 -
Crystal Langhorne * 34 4-7 0-0 2-2 11 2 0 1 1 10 16 -
Katie Smith * 33 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 0 4 -
Monique Currie * 27 6-12 2-4 4-5 5 1 2 1 1 18 14 -
Nakia Sanford * 20 3-6 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
Marissa Coleman 17 1-5 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 1 1 3 0 -
Chasity Melvin 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 6 6 -
Matee Ajavon 9 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
Jacinta Monroe 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Ashley Houts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter