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2010-05-15

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jia Perkins * 30 5-12 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 11 1 -
Sylvia Fowles * 30 6-12 0-0 4-4 9 0 1 2 3 16 13 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 26 3-7 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
Shameka Christon * 25 3-8 1-4 4-4 2 4 1 0 0 11 10 -
Dominique Canty * 23 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
Epiphanny Prince 29 3-12 0-3 1-2 2 2 5 0 6 7 -2 -
Erin Thorn 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 0 3 -
Mistie Bass 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
Sandora Irvin 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Renee Montgomery * 31 4-10 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 9 2 -
Tina Charles * 26 7-14 0-0 3-4 10 0 2 1 1 17 15 -
Kara Lawson * 25 3-7 2-6 2-2 6 3 0 0 0 10 12 -
Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * 22 6-9 4-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 18 9 -
DeMya Walker * 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 4 0 -
Kelsey Griffin 30 1-7 0-1 6-7 10 3 0 0 4 8 10 -
Tan White 26 2-10 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
Kerri Gardin 12 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Allison Hightower 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter