๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-06-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Margin 74.9% 25.1% -6.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“

Actual: Las Vegas Aces -2 (82-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsey Harding * 37 7-9 1-2 4-5 5 5 2 0 3 19 19 -
Alana Beard * 30 7-16 2-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 4 19 5 -
Chasity Melvin * 26 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 4 2 0 2 1 5 -
Monique Currie * 22 2-4 1-2 4-6 8 1 1 0 4 9 11 -
Nakia Sanford * 21 3-7 0-0 2-3 4 1 2 0 1 8 7 -
Crystal Langhorne 29 6-11 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 0 13 9 -
Matee Ajavon 29 5-8 3-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 3 15 11 -
Tasha Humphrey 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 36 7-16 1-4 6-10 5 4 4 1 4 21 15 -
Becky Hammon * 34 6-15 3-7 3-3 1 5 0 0 3 18 6 -
Vickie Johnson * 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 0 1 6 12 -
Helen Darling * 22 2-3 1-1 1-3 1 6 3 0 1 6 12 -
Ruth Riley * 21 2-5 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Belinda Snell 25 5-12 4-9 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 14 7 -
Erin Perperoglou 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Katie Mattera 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Megan Frazee 3 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter