Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tan White * | 25 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bernadette Ngoyisa | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Khadijah Whittington | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| LaToya Bond | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Allison Feaster | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Sherill Baker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alison Bales | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Morenike Atunrase | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter