Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +10 (60-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 18 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 27 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kasha Terry | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chelsea Newton * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| La'Tangela Atkinson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Linda Frohlich | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter