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2007-05-20

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 โœ— (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - โœ—

Actual: Minnesota Lynx -10 (64-74). Ratings: 2008 season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicole Powell * 30 5-11 3-6 1-1 5 2 0 0 3 14 7 -
DeMya Walker * 27 3-9 0-0 6-8 9 2 1 1 4 12 12 -
Chelsea Newton * 22 2-5 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 2 7 2 -
Yolanda Griffith * 21 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kara Lawson 28 6-14 2-5 5-6 5 4 1 1 3 19 13 -
Rebekkah Brunson 17 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 6 4 -
Kristin Haynie 16 3-7 2-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 10 10 -
Scholanda Dorrell 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Adrian Williams-Strong 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 2 5 -
Kim Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristen Mann * 34 3-11 0-4 3-4 5 3 3 0 0 9 9 -
Seimone Augustus * 34 10-16 0-1 8-10 3 2 1 1 2 28 17 -
Nicole Ohlde * 30 3-10 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 6 -1 -
Lindsey Harding * 29 1-12 0-1 2-5 4 2 4 0 2 4 0 -
Noelle Quinn * 20 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
Navonda Moore 15 1-4 0-1 6-8 3 1 1 0 0 8 9 -
Kathrin Ress 14 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Kiesha Brown 10 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Amber Jacobs 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter