Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Williams * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Raymond * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 20 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tasha Butts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter