Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Stephanie White * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 29 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kate Starbird | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Giuliana Mendiola | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter