Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -15 (70-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 28 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Edna Campbell * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 26 | 8-8 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 32 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -4 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Candace Futrell | 11 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Debbie Black | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter