Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murriel Page * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Annie Burgess * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 29 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tonya Massaline | 18 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jocelyn Penn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nakia Sanford | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Helen Luz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Johnson * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 10-13 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 32 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Rebecca Lobo * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Adrienne Johnson | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jessie Hicks | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Debbie Black | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Coleman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter