Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordana Grubin * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 27 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 25 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaynetta Saunders | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Susanna Bonfiglio | 18 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kristen Veal | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Adriana Moises Pinto | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Natalie Williams * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Azzi * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Margo Dydek * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - | - | |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| LaTonya Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Amy Herrig | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Elisa Aguilar | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danielle Crockrom | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andrea Gardner | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kate Starbird | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter