Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Harrison * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Adriana Moises Pinto * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kayte Christensen * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaynetta Saunders | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Susanna Bonfiglio | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kristen Veal | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Robinson * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 33 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vickie Johnson * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tari Phillips * | 28 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Becky Hammon | 19 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sue Wicks | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Camille Cooper | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Korie Hlede | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter