Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Gillom * | 38 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin * | 38 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Adriana Moises Pinto * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Susanna Bonfiglio | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kayte Christensen | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kristen Veal | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 33 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Shannon Johnson * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nykesha Sales * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cintia dos Santos | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Adrienne Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Elaine Powell | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jessie Hicks | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davalyn Cunningham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter