Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Azzi * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Margo Dydek * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - | - | |
| Natalie Williams * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| LaNeishea Caufield | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Amy Herrig | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Danielle Crockrom | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kate Starbird | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andrea Gardner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Elisa Aguilar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordana Grubin * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Adriana Moises Pinto | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandy Reed | 13 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kayte Christensen | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaynetta Saunders | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shea Mahoney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Susanna Bonfiglio | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter