Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 37 | 11-16 | 6-9 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 33 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Val Whiting * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Erin Perperoglou | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Georgia Schweitzer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Harrison * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maria Stepanova * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trisha Fallon * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michele Timms * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kristen Veal | 25 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaynetta Saunders | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ilona Korstine | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter