Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Gillom * | 34 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maria Stepanova * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trisha Fallon * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michele Timms * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kristen Veal | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaynetta Saunders | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| E.C. Hill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Canty * | 26 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Barbara Farris * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Elena Tornikidou * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rachael Sporn | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae Kingi-Cross | 28 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Deanna Nolan | 28 | 2-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Carla Boyd | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Edwina Brown | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kelly Santos | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter