Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -9 (80-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Gillom * | 35 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Maria Stepanova * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kristen Veal * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 28 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Michelle Cleary | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trisha Fallon | 9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaynetta Saunders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 39 | 4-13 | 4-5 | 10-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Val Whiting * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristi Harrower * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Erin Perperoglou | 22 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Janell Burse | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Georgia Schweitzer | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter