Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.2% | 16.8% | -8.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -14 (63-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Harrison * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brandy Reed * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Michelle Brogan * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 8 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dena Head | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter