Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -19 (55-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Gillom * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michelle Brogan * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis * | 30 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandy Reed | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michelle Cleary | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maria Stepanova | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dena Head | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 36 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andrea Lloyd-Curry | 29 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sonja Tate | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter