Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +19 (76-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Brogan * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 27 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michele Timms * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brandy Reed * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maria Stepanova | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 15 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michelle Cleary | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rankica Sarenac | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vedrana Grgin Fonseca | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paige Sauer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter