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2026-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - βœ—
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 βœ— (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - βœ—
Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% - βœ—

Actual: LA Clippers -5 (121-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 40 5-11 2-7 5-8 7 2 1 1 4 17 13 -
Draymond Green * 35 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 9 4 0 3 7 17 -
Stephen Curry * 35 12-23 7-12 4-5 1 4 1 0 3 35 15 -
Gui Santos * 31 9-13 2-4 0-0 7 5 1 0 5 20 15 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 27 8-12 3-6 1-3 5 5 1 2 1 20 20 -
Gary Payton II 23 2-4 0-0 2-3 3 1 2 0 0 6 8 -
De'Anthony Melton 22 3-7 0-2 1-2 5 3 2 0 2 7 8 -
Al Horford 22 5-8 4-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 14 7 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 40 8-17 1-6 4-4 7 3 0 0 5 21 9 -
Brook Lopez * 37 7-16 1-6 2-2 5 1 2 1 0 17 10 -
Kris Dunn * 32 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 10 3 0 1 7 17 -
Darius Garland * 31 8-15 2-4 3-3 5 8 1 0 2 21 18 -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 22 5-9 1-4 2-2 2 1 3 1 0 13 11 -
Bennedict Mathurin 29 7-11 5-6 4-4 3 2 3 0 4 23 16 -
John Collins 21 5-8 1-3 0-0 9 0 2 1 3 11 12 -
Jordan Miller 14 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
Kobe Sanders 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter