Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (104-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Strong * | 40 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 39 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Rony Seikaly * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brian Shaw * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Wilkins * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nick Anderson * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dan Schayes * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Scott * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amal McCaskill | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brian Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 23 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| John Crotty * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter