Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 (114-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 8-23 | 1-7 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 36 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 27 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 40 | 13-22 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 19 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 40 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Naz Reid | 30 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 19 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Mike Conley | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter