Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (108-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 36 | 13-18 | 3-5 | 10-12 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 39 | 42 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 40 | 5-22 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Edwards * | 40 | 12-26 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 32 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Naz Reid | 31 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter