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2026-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (30.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +38 (133-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 28 1-4 0-0 3-9 10 1 0 0 4 5 8 -
Julius Randle * 27 4-10 0-2 4-5 5 2 2 0 5 12 6 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. * 24 4-12 0-4 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
Jaden McDaniels * 19 6-10 0-1 0-1 3 4 0 1 2 12 8 -
Mike Conley * 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
Anthony Edwards 24 5-13 1-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 12 -2 -
Naz Reid 21 4-7 3-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
Jaylen Clark 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -
Kyle Anderson 14 3-6 0-1 2-6 3 4 0 0 1 8 8 -
Bones Hyland 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Ayo Dosunmu 10 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -2 -
Julian Phillips 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Joe Ingles 9 2-3 2-3 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 7 7 -
Joan Beringer 8 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 5 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 25 5-10 2-2 4-5 0 2 2 0 1 16 9 -
Victor Wembanyama * 25 7-15 2-7 3-3 15 2 1 2 2 19 22 -
Stephon Castle * 24 6-10 0-1 9-9 4 4 2 0 5 21 16 -
Julian Champagnie * 22 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 2 2 1 0 12 14 -
Devin Vassell * 21 3-9 2-6 2-2 5 4 0 0 0 10 10 -
Dylan Harper 22 5-10 1-3 0-0 7 5 2 0 2 11 13 -
Keldon Johnson 19 2-8 0-1 5-8 10 1 0 1 1 9 12 -
Carter Bryant 15 1-3 0-2 0-2 2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Harrison Barnes 15 4-7 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
Luke Kornet 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 3 0 4 11 -
Jordan McLaughlin 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
Kelly Olynyk 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
Lindy Waters III 8 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 7 -
Bismack Biyombo 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Mason Plumlee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 -

* = starter