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2026-05-05

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -2 (102-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 41 8-20 2-6 3-6 10 2 1 0 5 21 9 -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 7-14 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 1 1 16 10 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. * 34 5-13 0-1 6-8 5 1 0 0 0 16 9 -
Rudy Gobert * 29 3-7 0-0 1-5 10 3 4 1 1 7 17 -
Mike Conley * 24 4-8 4-7 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 12 12 -
Naz Reid 29 5-9 2-3 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 12 13 -
Anthony Edwards 25 8-13 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 18 11 -
Bones Hyland 11 0-6 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 0 -1 -
Jaylen Clark 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 39 5-17 0-8 1-2 15 5 0 12 3 11 23 -
Devin Vassell * 36 5-11 3-6 1-1 5 3 3 1 1 14 14 -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 5-14 0-4 0-0 3 6 0 0 6 10 -1 -
Julian Champagnie * 31 7-12 3-7 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 17 12 -
Stephon Castle * 28 4-8 3-5 6-8 5 5 0 0 0 17 19 -
Dylan Harper 28 7-13 1-4 3-3 4 4 0 0 0 18 13 -
Keldon Johnson 23 5-10 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 11 4 -
Harrison Barnes 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
Luke Kornet 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter