Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (116-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 10-27 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Javonte Green | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Paul Reed | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 13-24 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 22 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Max Strus | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 22 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
* = starter