Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +10 (111-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 9-19 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| James Harden * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 9-9 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Max Strus | 27 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 16 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 41 | 6-19 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 28 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Javonte Green | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter