Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -20 (78-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 10-25 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 34 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 29 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bronny James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 44 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 41 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 36 | 4-19 | 1-10 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -5 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| JD Davison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter