Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -6 (93-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 45 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 43 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 42 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 9-20 | 0-6 | 7-10 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 38 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Austin Reaves | 33 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 12-13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter