Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (101-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 42 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tari Eason | 27 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Clint Capela | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 42 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 41 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| LeBron James * | 39 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 10-14 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Bronny James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter