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2026-04-19

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.8% 43.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Smith Jr. * 43 5-14 3-9 3-5 12 0 2 0 1 16 15 -
Amen Thompson * 43 7-18 0-1 3-6 7 7 3 1 2 17 15 -
Reed Sheppard * 35 6-20 5-14 0-0 1 8 1 1 4 17 4 -
Alperen Sengun * 35 6-19 0-2 7-9 8 6 1 1 3 19 13 -
Josh Okogie * 26 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 1 2 0 0 7 6 -
Tari Eason 23 7-7 2-2 0-1 10 2 3 0 1 16 23 -
Clint Capela 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Aaron Holiday 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Jae'Sean Tate 9 1-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 4 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 41 6-10 2-4 0-0 2 0 3 2 2 14 9 -
LeBron James * 38 9-15 1-2 0-2 8 13 2 1 2 19 26 -
Luke Kennard * 38 9-13 5-5 4-6 4 3 0 0 3 27 18 -
Deandre Ayton * 35 8-10 0-0 3-3 11 2 0 1 3 19 20 -
Marcus Smart * 33 5-12 1-5 4-8 2 8 1 2 5 15 11 -
Jake LaRavia 18 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 3 1 1 1 6 9 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Jaxson Hayes 12 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Bronny James 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter