Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.8 | β (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | β |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +19 (114-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 39 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 7-11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Scoot Henderson * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 16 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Matisse Thybulle | 15 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Blake Wesley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kris Murray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 32 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 29 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter