Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | β (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | β |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -21 (93-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 11-17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 31 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 26 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Scoot Henderson * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 14 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kris Murray | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Blake Wesley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter