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2026-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% -
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -3 (103-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scoot Henderson * 38 11-17 5-9 4-6 1 0 1 1 2 31 15 -
Jrue Holiday * 38 6-17 2-6 2-2 5 9 1 2 5 16 11 -
Toumani Camara * 34 3-7 2-5 2-2 8 1 3 1 0 10 16 -
Deni Avdija * 29 5-13 1-2 3-5 4 3 0 1 4 14 5 -
Donovan Clingan * 23 4-12 1-6 0-0 11 1 1 2 1 9 11 -
Robert Williams III 23 5-6 1-2 0-1 9 3 1 1 0 11 19 -
Jerami Grant 20 1-8 0-2 3-3 1 0 1 0 0 5 -1 -
Shaedon Sharpe 12 3-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 9 6 -
Matisse Thybulle 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
Kris Murray 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Castle * 37 7-20 2-6 2-5 8 5 1 1 3 18 10 -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 6-16 1-3 4-5 2 4 3 0 3 17 7 -
Devin Vassell * 33 6-16 0-5 4-5 12 2 3 1 1 16 17 -
Julian Champagnie * 26 3-4 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 2 1 9 10 -
Victor Wembanyama * 11 1-3 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 1 2 5 6 -
Luke Kornet 27 4-5 0-0 2-3 9 2 2 0 1 10 17 -
Dylan Harper 23 4-7 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 3 10 3 -
Keldon Johnson 17 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 7 6 -
Harrison Barnes 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Carter Bryant 12 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 7 5 -

* = starter