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2026-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - βœ“
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.8 βœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - βœ“

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (111-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 39 12-21 2-5 4-6 10 5 1 1 2 30 24 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 4-15 1-7 0-0 4 11 1 0 1 9 9 -
Toumani Camara * 31 2-7 2-5 2-2 2 1 2 1 2 8 5 -
Scoot Henderson * 27 7-11 2-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 18 11 -
Donovan Clingan * 21 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Shaedon Sharpe 21 4-13 0-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 10 1 -
Matisse Thybulle 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
Jerami Grant 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 5 -1 -
Robert Williams III 16 5-7 1-3 0-0 6 4 0 0 0 11 14 -
Kris Murray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Blake Wesley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Yang Hansen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Vít Krejčí 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sidy Cissoko 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 34 5-13 4-9 1-2 3 2 0 2 1 15 8 -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 7-15 2-5 1-2 5 8 1 0 0 17 16 -
Victor Wembanyama * 32 13-21 5-6 4-5 5 1 0 2 4 35 18 -
Stephon Castle * 32 4-13 1-5 8-8 7 7 0 0 3 17 15 -
Julian Champagnie * 29 2-3 2-3 0-0 5 2 3 1 1 6 13 -
Dylan Harper 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
Keldon Johnson 20 1-4 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 3 6 -
Luke Kornet 14 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 10 12 -
Harrison Barnes 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Carter Bryant 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kelly Olynyk 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bismack Biyombo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lindy Waters III 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter