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2026-05-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% - βœ“
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 βœ“ (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 38.3% 61.7% - βœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 43 9-25 1-6 4-5 4 6 3 0 3 23 8 -
Scottie Barnes * 37 8-14 1-1 7-7 9 6 0 1 3 24 23 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 37 4-9 3-7 2-3 2 2 3 1 2 13 10 -
Jamal Shead * 35 5-16 2-8 2-3 3 7 0 0 1 14 7 -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 4-5 0-0 1-4 7 0 2 0 2 9 11 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 23 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 3 2 1 2 8 11 -
A.J. Lawson 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Jamison Battle 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 8 3-6 0-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Gradey Dick 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jonathan Mogbo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Garrett Temple 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 36 3-9 1-5 11-13 6 3 3 0 2 18 19 -
Donovan Mitchell * 35 9-20 2-9 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 22 4 -
Jarrett Allen * 33 7-11 0-0 8-14 19 2 2 3 3 22 34 -
Evan Mobley * 27 5-7 1-2 2-4 7 4 0 1 4 13 14 -
Dean Wade * 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
Max Strus 30 4-10 2-8 2-2 8 5 2 1 3 12 15 -
Sam Merrill 23 4-8 3-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 13 10 -
Jaylon Tyson 18 3-8 1-3 0-0 9 4 0 0 0 7 12 -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 13 1-7 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -

* = starter