Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +2 (112-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 44 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 41 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 40 | 11-26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 3 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Max Strus * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dean Wade | 28 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 47 | 11-21 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 43 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 43 | 8-21 | 4-12 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 39 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter