Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (125-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 38 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 5-9 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 34 | 7-16 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 33 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 15 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 39 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 4-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Max Strus * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 21 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Dean Wade | 20 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter