Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 6-24 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Max Strus | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 18 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 13 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 41 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 23 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 38 | 8-22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 6-23 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 27 | 0-9 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 25 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter