Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +13 (126-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 6-9 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 30 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 28 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 20 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| James Harden * | 33 | 8-18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 30 | 11-20 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Max Strus | 23 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter