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2026-05-01

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Log Adjusted 66.4% 33.6% -
Points Off/Def 57.7% 42.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +13 (106-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 31 3-8 3-6 2-2 1 1 3 0 2 11 6 -
Jayson Tatum * 28 6-13 2-6 3-5 11 3 0 0 3 17 15 -
Jaylen Brown * 28 7-17 2-6 2-6 1 2 0 0 5 18 -1 -
Sam Hauser * 20 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Neemias Queta * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 2 1 4 11 -
Payton Pritchard 36 6-16 1-8 1-1 3 5 0 0 1 14 5 -
Jordan Walsh 19 1-3 0-1 1-2 5 3 0 1 0 3 9 -
Baylor Scheierman 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 5 6 -
Nikola Vučević 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
Luka Garza 13 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
Ron Harper Jr. 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Dalano Banton 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 39 8-17 5-9 2-2 4 3 2 1 4 23 12 -
Tyrese Maxey * 39 11-22 3-5 5-5 2 5 2 0 0 30 17 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 38 6-11 1-3 1-2 9 1 2 2 3 14 14 -
VJ Edgecombe * 38 5-11 1-6 3-3 8 3 0 2 0 14 16 -
Joel Embiid * 34 6-18 1-5 6-7 10 8 1 0 1 19 19 -
Quentin Grimes 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Andre Drummond 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 2 9 -
Justin Edwards 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
Trendon Watford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dalen Terry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Adem Bona 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kyle Lowry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter