Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (50.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -55 (83-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Allen * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 24 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 22 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill * | 18 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 20 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 30 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 22 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 29 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter